Will China invade TaiwanPolymarket historical data and price history

Will China invade Taiwan: a Polymarket politics series with markets recurring monthly. Marketlens has captured 3 markets since August 15, 2026, of which 1 resolved, with $49.4M in traded volume. Every market's order book is captured as full depth L2 snapshots at regular intervals, alongside trades, candles, and the final resolution outcome.

For the politics archive as a whole, see Polymarket election data.

Data as of 2026-10-05 · Polymarket series China invade Taiwan · slug china-invade-taiwan

Markets
3
Resolved
1
Traded volume
$49.4M
Avg volume / market
$16.5M
Cadence
monthly
Coverage from
2026-08-15
Data through
now
Category
Politics

Markets in this series

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

closed 2026-10-01 · volume $2.4M · resolved No

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

closes 2026-12-31 · volume $43.6M · active

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

closes 2027-12-31 · volume $3.4M · active

Backtest this series

python
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone from marketlens import MarketLens, Strategy class MyStrategy(Strategy): def on_market_start(self, ctx, market, book): ctx.buy_yes(size=10) client = MarketLens() end = datetime.now(timezone.utc) - timedelta(days=1) result = client.backtest( MyStrategy(), "china-invade-taiwan", after=end - timedelta(hours=1), before=end, initial_cash=1_000, ) result.show() # inspect the run in the dashboard

Available datasets

Order book snapshots and deltasfull L2 depth, millisecond price changes
Tradesindividual fills with side and size
CandlesOHLC at multiple resolutions
Bulk Parquet exportsfull markets for offline research
Backtestingtick level replay with realistic fills

Common questions

How many Will China invade Taiwan markets are in the archive?

3 markets from August 15, 2026 through now, of which 1 have resolved and 2 are active.

What data exists for each Will China invade Taiwan market?

Full depth L2 order book snapshots at regular intervals, individual trades, OHLC candles, and the resolution outcome. All of it is queryable by the series slug "china-invade-taiwan" through the API and Python SDK, or downloadable as Parquet.

How much does a typical Will China invade Taiwan market trade?

Average traded volume is $16.5M per market, $49.4M across the series.

Can I backtest strategies on Will China invade Taiwan?

Yes. Pass the slug "china-invade-taiwan" to client.backtest() in the Python SDK. Execution mode replays order books against real historical depth; Alpha mode, one bar per market, covers every market in the series and suits its longer horizons.

Related series: Elon Musk # tweets, Will the Iranian regime fall, Putin out as President of Russia, Trump out as President, Which party will win the House, Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place, or all politics series.

Try it

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bash
$ pip install marketlens