Fed DecisionPolymarket historical data and price history

Fed Decision: a Polymarket economy series with markets recurring monthly. Marketlens has captured 28 markets since March 1, 2026, of which 28 resolved, with $1.2B in traded volume. Every market's order book is stored in full: periodic L2 snapshots plus every individual price change with a millisecond timestamp, alongside trades, candles, and the final resolution outcome.

For the economy archive as a whole, see Polymarket price history.

Data as of 2026-11-02 · Polymarket series FOMC · slug fomc

Markets
28
Resolved
28
Traded volume
$1.2B
Avg volume / market
$44.7M
Cadence
monthly
Coverage from
2026-03-01
Data through
now
Category
Economy

Resolution outcomes

No: 22 (78.6%)Yes: 6 (21.4%)

Outcomes across 28 resolved markets with a recorded winning outcome. Settlement in the archive is by winning outcome, not by final traded price.

Markets in this series

The most recently resolved of 28 markets.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

closed 2026-10-28 · volume $32.0M · resolved Yes

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

closed 2026-10-28 · volume $21.6M · resolved No

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

closed 2026-10-28 · volume $17.8M · resolved No

Backtest this series

python
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone from marketlens import MarketLens, Strategy class MyStrategy(Strategy): def on_market_start(self, ctx, market, book): ctx.buy_yes(size=10) client = MarketLens() end = datetime.now(timezone.utc) - timedelta(days=1) result = client.backtest( MyStrategy(), "fomc", after=end - timedelta(hours=1), before=end, initial_cash=1_000, ) result.show() # inspect the run in the dashboard

Available datasets

Order book snapshots and deltasfull L2 depth, millisecond price changes
Tradesindividual fills with side and size
CandlesOHLC at multiple resolutions
Bulk Parquet exportsfull markets for offline research
Backtestingtick level replay with realistic fills

Common questions

How many Fed Decision markets are in the archive?

28 markets from March 1, 2026 through now, of which 28 have resolved.

What data exists for each Fed Decision market?

Full L2 order book history (snapshots plus every price change at millisecond resolution), individual trades, OHLC candles, and the resolution outcome. All of it is queryable by the series slug "fomc" through the API and Python SDK, or downloadable as Parquet.

How often do Fed Decision markets resolve No?

Of 28 resolved markets with a recorded outcome, 22 resolved No (78.6%) and 6 resolved Yes.

How much does a typical Fed Decision market trade?

Average traded volume is $44.7M per market, $1.2B across the series.

Can I backtest strategies on Fed Decision?

Yes. Pass the slug "fomc" to client.backtest() in the Python SDK. Execution mode replays every market's order book tick by tick and fills simulated orders against real historical depth with queue priority, latency, and fee modelling; Alpha mode replays one bar per market for slower signals over long windows.

Related series: Largest Company, Fed rate hike, US Annual Inflation, Bank of Japan Decision, ECB Interest Rates, Bank of England decision, or all economy series.

Try it

Replay Fed Decision tick by tick

The free tier includes 2M data rows and every market open in the last 7 days, no card required.

bash
$ pip install marketlens